Policy Briefs

The set of policy briefs presented below addresses questions that are central to U.S. nuclear and conventional military policy toward China. The policy briefs are the findings of a two-year Institute for Security & Conflict Studies research project funded by the Carnegie Corporation of New York. The project frames U.S. nuclear policy broadly because China’s nuclear modernization has significant implications for U.S. conventional force requirements and its alliance commitments in Northeast Asia.  The project lays the foundation for these analyses by examining China’s view of the threat that U.S. forces pose to its nuclear and conventional capabilities.  Interactions between conventional and nuclear strategies are explored further by addressing the escalatory pressures created by U.S. responses to China’s force modernization. The project is motivated by the expectation that policy choices involving U.S. nuclear forces and the requirements for extending deterrence to America’s East Asian allies will become more important as competition between the United States and China continues, and especially if strains in U.S.-China relations continue to grow. 

Charles Glaser, "The United States Should Forego a Damage-Limitation Capability Against China" Download PDF 

Fiona Cunningham and Taylor Fravel, "Why China Won't Abandon Its Nuclear Strategy of Assured Retaliation" Download PDF   Full Article

Mike Mochizuki, "How Much is Enough?: U.S. Extended Deterrence in Northeast Asia and China's Rise" Download PDF 

Alexander Downes and Jasen Castillo, "Why U.S. Alliances in East Asia Will Remain Stable as China Rises" Download PDF 

Michael Chase, "Chinese Perceptions of U.S. Conventional Military Power" Download PDF 

Stephen Biddle and Ivan Oelrich, "Future Warfare in the Western Pacific: From Command of the Commons to Spheres of Influence" Download PDF 

Caitlin Talmadge, "Preventing Nuclear Escalation in U.S.-China Conflict" Download PDF 

This research is funded by the Carnegie Corporation of New York